$20K Bitcoin may return, says analyst as US unemployment hits 54-year low

Bitcoin (BTC) fell prior to the Feb. 3 Wall Street open as fresh United States economic data came in “hot hot hot.”

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

“Think again” over U.S. recession

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView followed BTC/USD as it erased gains from earlier in the day to center on $23,000 support.

The pair reacted negatively to U.S. unemployment data for January, which beat expectations so considerably that overall jobless figures fell to their lowest since 1969.

Non-farm payrolls (NFP) data likewise outperformed, while average hourly earnings conformed to forecast 0.3% growth.

“HUGE beat in NFP,” popular analytics account Tedtalksmacro responded on Twitter.

Returning to predictions from the day prior, Tedtalksmacro eyed a potential opportunity to increase Bitcoin exposure, given the latest come-down, which it said could take BTC/USD all the way to $20,000.

“An opportunity to reload on this news, potentially,” a further tweet added.

Bitcoin’s cold feet come from the implication that a stronger-than-forecast labor market allows the Federal Reserve to maintain tighter, less liquid monetary conditions for a longer period of time.

“US economy sliding into a recession? Well, think again. At least not in the near term,” economist and analyst Jan Wüstenfeld continued.

U.S. civilian unemployment rate chart. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

$25,000 Bitcoin now “crowded trade”

As Cointelegraph reported, the Fed raised interest rates by 0.25% this week, in line with almost all expectations, while Chair Jerome Powell caused excitement by using the term “disinflation” in accompanying comments.

Related: Bitcoin bulls must reclaim these 2 levels as ‘death cross’ still looms

BTC/USD thus spiked above $24,000 for the second time in as many days, with market participants still hopeful of a trip to $25,000 before a more significant retracement.

“BTC has had a clean breakout above its macro downtrend line + a backtest,” investment research resource Game of Trades stated.

“The next big resistance to clear is the $25k region.”

BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Game of Trades/Twitter

Popular trader Crypto Tony nonetheless acknowledged that that target may no longer materialize.

“$25,000 is my main target, but I am seeing now a lot of people asking for this, and is becoming a crowded trade,” he wrote in part of a fresh update on the day.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

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